2028 Electoral College margin of victory?

2028 Electoral College margin of victory? — Democratic by 31 to 60

9% chance

Yes9%

Buy Yes11¢12¢ after fees

No91%

Buy No93¢94¢ after fees

Resolves: Nov 7, 2028
Volume: $691
24h: $0

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

Polymarket USCFTC-regulated

Deposit $10, get $25

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Claim offer 1 / 5

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes9%—11¢

11¢12¢ after fees

No91%—93¢

93¢94¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Kalshiat 11¢: exit costs ~1¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If the Democratic candidate wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 31-60 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules on Kalshi ↗

About this market

Category: Politics
Event: 2028 Electoral College margin of victory?
Resolves: Tue, November 7, 2028