2028 Electoral College margin of victory?

    2028 Electoral College margin of victory? Live odds across 14 markets: Democratic by 91 to 130 at 16¢. Resolves Jan 8, 2029. Not financial advice.

    Resolves Jan 8, 2029

    TRADING OPEN
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    2028 Electoral College margin of victory?

    Resolves Jan 8, 2029
    Total Volume

    $6.7K

    +$0 (24h)

    Active Markets

    14

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    16¢

    Democratic by 91 to 130

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -4¢

    Republican by 31 to 60

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    14 markets · Showing 14
    #
    116¢16¢
    $1.1K
    -2¢
    214¢14¢
    $378
    -2¢
    312¢12¢
    $151
    410¢10¢
    $445
    -4¢
    5
    $648
    -4¢
    6
    $0
    -3¢
    7
    $11
    -4¢
    8
    $345
    -2¢
    9
    $0
    -3¢
    10
    $380
    -2¢
    11
    $1.6K
    -4¢
    12
    $0
    13
    $1.6K
    -2¢
    14
    $0
    -1¢

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Democratic by 91 to 130
    16%
    16¢-2¢
    2Democratic by 61 to 90
    14%
    14¢-2¢
    3Democratic by 31 to 60
    12%
    12¢
    4Democratic by 11 to 30
    10¢-4¢
    5Democratic by 1 to 10
    -4¢
    6Republican by 61 to 90
    -3¢
    7Republican by 31 to 60
    -4¢
    8Democratic by 131 to 210
    -2¢
    9Republican by 91 to 130
    -3¢
    10Republican by 1 to 10
    -2¢
    11Republican by 211 or more
    -4¢
    12Republican by 11 to 30
    13Democratic by 211 or more
    -2¢
    14Republican by 131 to 210
    -1¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jan 8, 2029

    ~848 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    14
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $6.7K

    Whale Activity

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