Global Elections

    2028 Electoral College margin of victory?

    Democratic by 131 to 210 leads by 3 pts · 10 candidates at 5%+

    1. Democratic by 131 to 210#116%
    2. Democratic by 91 to 130#213%
    3. Democratic by 211 or more#311%
    #4 Democratic by 61 to 9010%#5 Democratic by 31 to 609%+9 more
    Resolves
    Nov 7, 2028
    Volume
    $38.2K
    24h
    $2.7K
    Candidates
    14
    kalshi1 venue · 14 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Democratic by 131 to 21016%
    • Democratic by 91 to 13013%
    • Democratic by 211 or more11%
    • Democratic by 61 to 9010%
    • Democratic by 31 to 609%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

    Deposit $10, get $25

    Trading bonus for new sign-ups.

    Claim offer 1 / 5

    Sponsored · We may earn a commission · 18+ · Trade responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER

    Signals

    3 signals
    1. Republican by 91 to 13024h
      ▼ 4¢ in 24hkalshi
    2. Democratic by 211 or more24h
      ▲ 3¢ in 24hkalshi
    3. Republican by 61 to 9024h
      ▼ 3¢ in 24hkalshi

    Every candidate, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Democratic by 131 to 210$7.0K vol16%▲ 1kalshi17¢18¢ after fees
    Democratic by 91 to 130$1.9K vol13%—kalshi13¢14¢ after fees
    Democratic by 211 or more$8.2K vol11%▲ 3kalshi12¢13¢ after fees
    Democratic by 61 to 90$1.2K vol10%▼ 1kalshi11¢12¢ after fees
    Democratic by 31 to 60$691 vol9%▼ 2kalshi11¢12¢ after fees
    Democratic by 11 to 30$2.1K vol8%—kalshi9¢10¢ after fees
    Republican by 211 or more$2.6K vol6%—kalshi9¢10¢ after fees
    Republican by 61 to 90$2.4K vol6%▼ 3kalshi9¢10¢ after fees
    Republican by 91 to 130$2.1K vol6%▼ 4kalshi9¢10¢ after fees
    Republican by 11 to 30$1.1K vol6%—kalshi6¢7¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

    Loading trades…

    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Tue, November 7, 2028
    kalshiCompared across 1 venue

    More in Global Elections

    All Global Elections