Claude 6 released by...? — By March 31, 2027

32% chance · down 1 pts today

Yes32%▼ 1

Buy Yes39¢fee unknown

No68%▲ 1

Buy No62¢fee unknown

Resolves: Mar 31, 2027
Volume: $23.0K
24h: $460
Liquidity: $2.7K

Listed on 2 venues

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

1 signal

Yes24h
6¢ apart across venues

Every venue’s price

2 venues

Chance

Best

Yes32%▼ 133¢39¢

39¢fee unknown

No69%▲ 170¢62¢

62¢fee unknown

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 33¢: exit costs ~0.88¢/contract

Polymarket USat 39¢: Fees unavailable

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's Claude 6 model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Claude" and be designated as version 6 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. Any of An…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

Polymarket US

Claude 6 Released?

Full rules on Polymarket US ↗

About this market

Category: Culture
Event: Claude 6 released by...?
Resolves: Wed, March 31, 2027