Claude 6 released by...? — June 30, 2027

68% chance · down 1 pts today

Yes68%▼ 1

Buy Yes73¢fee unknown

No32%▲ 1

Buy No28¢fee unknown

Resolves: Jun 30, 2027
Volume: $15.0K
24h: $30
Liquidity: $6.3K

Listed on 2 venues

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

Polymarket USCFTC-regulated

Deposit $10, get $25

Trading bonus for new sign-ups.

Claim offer 1 / 5

Sponsored · We may earn a commission · 18+ · Trade responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER

Signals

1 signal

Yes24h
5¢ apart across venues

Every venue’s price

2 venues

Chance

Best

Yes68%▼ 168¢73¢

73¢fee unknown

No32%▲ 133¢28¢

28¢fee unknown

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 68¢: exit costs ~0.87¢/contract

Polymarket USat 73¢: Fees unavailable

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's Claude 6 model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Claude" and be designated as version 6 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. Any of An…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

Polymarket US

Claude 6 Released?

Full rules on Polymarket US ↗

About this market

Category: Culture
Event: Claude 6 released by...?
Resolves: Wed, June 30, 2027