Claude 6 released by...? — By December 31, 2027

89% chance · down 1 pts today

Yes89%▼ 1

Buy Yes88¢fee unknown

No11%▲ 1

Buy No13¢fee unknown

Resolves: Dec 31, 2027
Volume: $11.4K
24h: $0
Liquidity: $17.6K

Listed on 2 venues

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

2 venues

Chance

Best

Yes89%▼ 191¢88¢

88¢fee unknown

No11%▲ 111¢13¢

13¢fee unknown

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarket USat 88¢: Fees unavailable

Polymarketat 91¢: exit costs ~0.33¢/contract

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's Claude 6 model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Claude" and be designated as version 6 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. Any of An…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

Polymarket US

Claude 6 Released?

Full rules on Polymarket US ↗

About this market

Category: Culture
Event: Claude 6 released by...?
Resolves: Fri, December 31, 2027