Claude 6 released by...? — December 31, 2026

4% chance

Yes4%

Buy Yes5¢5¢ after fees

No96%

Buy No97¢97¢ after fees

Resolves: Dec 31, 2026
Volume: $394
24h: $0
Liquidity: $498

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes4%—5¢

5¢5¢ after fees

No96%—97¢

97¢97¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 5¢: exit costs ~0.19¢/contract

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's Claude 6 model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Claude" and be designated as version 6 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. Any of An…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

About this market

Category: Culture
Event: Claude 6 released by...?
Resolves: Thu, December 31, 2026