Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027? — China

13% chance

Yes13%

Buy Yes15¢16¢ after fees

No87%

Buy No90¢91¢ after fees

Resolves: Jan 1, 2027
Volume: $5.8K
24h: $0

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes13%—15¢

15¢16¢ after fees

No88%—90¢

90¢91¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Kalshiat 15¢: exit costs ~1¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

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How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If a free trade deal with China has become law, either through Senate ratification and Presidential approval or through Congressional-Executive Agreement and the signature of the President (or at least, signing the implementing legislation) after Issuance before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
Resolves: Fri, January 1, 2027