Will the Clarity Act become law? — Before Oct 1, 2027

16% chance · down 4 pts today

Yes16%▼ 4

Buy Yes18¢20¢ after fees

No84%▲ 4

Buy No87¢88¢ after fees

Resolves: Jan 1, 2027
Volume: $170.6K
24h: $311

Listed on 2 venues

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

2 signals

Yes24h
▼ 4¢ in 24h
Yes24h
7¢ apart across venues

Every venue’s price

2 venues

Chance

Best

Yes16%▼ 418¢25¢

18¢20¢ after fees

No85%▲ 487¢94¢

87¢88¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Kalshiat 18¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Crypto.comat 25¢: exit costs ~1.31¢/contract

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If a crypto market structure bill has become law before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Crypto.com

Will the Clarity Act Become Law?

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About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Will the Clarity Act become law?
Resolves: Fri, January 1, 2027