JD Vance announces a presidential run by...?

JD Vance announces a presidential run by...? — Before May 1, 2027

47% chance

Yes47%

Buy Yes51¢53¢ after fees

No53%

Buy No57¢59¢ after fees

Resolves: May 1, 2027
Volume: $201
24h: $0

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes47%—51¢

51¢53¢ after fees

No53%—57¢

57¢59¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Kalshiat 51¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If JD Vance has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before May 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules on Kalshi ↗

About this market

Category: Politics
Event: JD Vance announces a presidential run by...?
Resolves: Sat, May 1, 2027