Will the Clarity Act become law? — Before Jul 1, 2027

12% chance · down 2 pts today

Yes12%▼ 2

Buy Yes14¢15¢ after fees

No88%▲ 2

Buy No90¢91¢ after fees

Resolves: Jan 1, 2027
Volume: $99.8K
24h: $39

Listed on 2 venues

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

1 signal

Yes24h
10¢ apart across venues

Every venue’s price

2 venues

Chance

Best

Yes12%▼ 214¢24¢

14¢15¢ after fees

No88%▲ 290¢93¢

90¢91¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Kalshiat 14¢: exit costs ~1¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Crypto.comat 24¢: exit costs ~1.28¢/contract

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If a crypto market structure bill has become law before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules on Kalshi ↗

Crypto.com

Will the Clarity Act Become Law?

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About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Will the Clarity Act become law?
Resolves: Fri, January 1, 2027