Pete Hegseth departure announced? — Before Jan 1, 2027

22% chance · up 7 pts today

Yes22%▲ 7

Buy Yes17¢fee unknown

No78%▼ 7

Buy No79¢81¢ after fees

Resolves: Jan 14, 2027
Volume: $212.6K
24h: $33.3K

Listed on 2 venues

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

2 signals

Yes24h
▲ 7¢ in 24h
Yes24h
5¢ apart across venues

Every venue’s price

2 venues

Chance

Best

Yes22%▲ 722¢17¢

17¢fee unknown

No79%▼ 779¢84¢

79¢81¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarket USat 17¢: Fees unavailable

Kalshiat 22¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If Pete Hegseth leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of Defense before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules on Kalshi ↗

Polymarket US

Pete Hegseth Announced Out as Secretary of War?

Full rules on Polymarket US ↗

About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Pete Hegseth departure announced?
Resolves: Thu, January 14, 2027