Anthropic lab leak by...? — December 31, 2026

2% chance

Yes2%

Buy Yes2¢2¢ after fees

No98%

Buy No99¢99¢ after fees

Resolves: Dec 31, 2026
Volume: $40.2K
24h: $0
Liquidity: $33.1K

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes2%—2¢

2¢2¢ after fees

No98%—99¢

99¢99¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 2¢: exit costs ~0.07¢/contract

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a pathogen developed, modified, or handled at a wet lab operated by Anthropic is confirmed to have escaped that facility between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Confirmation that the pathogen escaped the laboratory, research facility, diagnostic facility, or other controlled laboratory setting in which it was conta…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

About this market

Category: Culture
Event: Anthropic lab leak by...?
Resolves: Thu, December 31, 2026