Anthropic lab leak by...?

    June 30, 2027 leads by 5 pts

    1. June 30, 2027#17%
    2. December 31, 2026#22%
    Resolves
    Jun 30, 2027
    Volume
    $166.8K
    24h
    $276
    Outcomes
    2
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1 venue · 2 markets

    Who’s winning

    • June 30, 20277%
    • December 31, 20262%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

    Deposit $10, get $25

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    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every outcome, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    June 30, 2027$126.6K vol7%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US8¢8¢ after fees
    December 31, 2026$40.2K vol2%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US2¢2¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Wed, June 30, 2027
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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