First Dem POTUS announcement? — Andy Beshear

18% chance

Yes18%

Buy Yes21¢23¢ after fees

No82%

Buy No85¢86¢ after fees

Resolves: Nov 1, 2028
Volume: $6.4K
24h: $0

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Deposit $10, get $25

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes18%—21¢

21¢23¢ after fees

No82%—85¢

85¢86¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Kalshiat 21¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If Andy Beshear is the first individual in this list to publicly declare their candidacy for 2028 United States presidential election after Issuance and before Nov 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules on Kalshi ↗

About this market

Category: Politics
Event: First Dem POTUS announcement?
Resolves: Wed, November 1, 2028