FY2026 Commerce Department gifts and bequests (including Gold Card receipts)

FY2026 Commerce Department gifts and bequests (including Gold Card receipts) — Above $2B

5% chance

Yes5%

Buy Yes7¢8¢ after fees

No95%

Buy No98¢99¢ after fees

Resolves: Jan 1, 2027
Volume: $2.8K
24h: $0

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

Polymarket USCFTC-regulated

Deposit $10, get $25

Trading bonus for new sign-ups.

Claim offer 1 / 5

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes5%—7¢

7¢8¢ after fees

No96%—98¢

98¢99¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Kalshiat 7¢: exit costs ~1¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If the total amount of Department of Commerce gifts and bequests receipts, including Trump Gold Card Program receipts is above 2000000000 for fiscal year 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules on Kalshi ↗

About this market

Category: Politics
Event: FY2026 Commerce Department gifts and bequests (including Gold Card receipts)
Resolves: Fri, January 1, 2027