Trump

    FY2026 Commerce Department gifts and bequests (including Gold Card receipts)

    Above $1M leads by 15 pts · 7 candidates at 5%+

    1. Above $1M#197%
    2. Above $5M#282%
    3. Above $10M#334%
    #4 Above $50M20%#5 Above $100M18%+5 more
    Resolves
    Jan 1, 2027
    Volume
    $21.0K
    24h
    $23
    Candidates
    10
    kalshi1 venue · 10 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Above $1M97%
    • Above $5M82%
    • Above $10M34%
    • Above $50M20%
    • Above $100M18%
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    Signals

    3 signals
    1. Above $5M24h
      ▼ 4¢ in 24hkalshi
    2. Above $10M24h
      ▼ 4¢ in 24hkalshi
    3. Above $50M24h
      ▼ 4¢ in 24hkalshi

    Every candidate, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Above $1M$1.2K vol97%▼ 2kalshi99¢100¢ after fees
    Above $5M$968 vol82%▼ 4kalshi84¢85¢ after fees
    Above $10M$317 vol34%▼ 4kalshi37¢39¢ after fees
    Above $50M$213 vol20%▼ 4kalshi23¢25¢ after fees
    Above $100M$6.9K vol18%▼ 4kalshi21¢23¢ after fees
    Above $500M$1 vol7%▼ 4kalshi10¢11¢ after fees
    Above $1B$3.2K vol6%▼ 4kalshi9¢10¢ after fees
    Above $4B$2.7K vol5%▼ 2kalshi7¢8¢ after fees
    Above $2B$2.8K vol5%▼ 2kalshi7¢8¢ after fees
    Above $6B$2.7K vol4%▼ 2kalshi6¢7¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

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    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Fri, January 1, 2027
    kalshiCompared across 1 venue

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