TRADING OPEN

    Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25) — Above 200

    Volume

    $2.8K

    $811 24h

    Platforms

    1

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Oct 27, 2026

    ~6 days left

    Category

    Politics

    27¢CHANCE OF YES27%73%
    Yes
    27¢
    Kalshi
    No
    74¢
    Kalshi

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    1 platform
    kalshi
    Kalshi
    Best Yes
    Best No
    Yes
    27¢
    No
    74¢
    Vol
    $2.8K
    $811 24h
    Trade on Kalshi

    Price History

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    About This Market

    If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 200 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    KalshiKalshiat 27¢: exit costs ~1.38¢/contract
    Full calculator

    Market Details

    ResolutionResolves Oct 27, 2026
    Time Left6 days
    Status● Active
    CategoryPolitics

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