TRADING OPEN

    Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25)

    Resolves Oct 27, 2026
    Total Volume

    $90.5K

    +$24.2K (24h)

    Active Markets

    11

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    97¢

    Above 150

    Biggest Mover 24h

    +12¢

    Above 185

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    11 markets
    #
    1
    Above 150
    		97¢97¢
    $9.7K+$1.0K 24h
    		——
    2
    Above 160
    		94¢94¢
    $20.5K+$4.7K 24h
    		——
    3
    Above 170📈 Trending
    		91¢91¢
    $14.6K+$5.5K 24h
    		+7¢—
    4
    Above 180
    		73¢73¢
    $6.7K+$1.0K 24h
    		+6¢—
    5
    Above 185📈 Trending
    		57¢57¢
    $6.4K+$2.4K 24h
    		+12¢—
    6
    Above 190
    		42¢42¢
    $5.3K+$795 24h
    		——
    7
    Above 195📈 Trending
    		38¢38¢
    $4.2K+$1.8K 24h
    		+1¢—
    8
    Above 200
    		27¢27¢
    $2.8K+$811 24h
    		+2¢—
    9
    Above 205
    		19¢19¢
    $1.4K+$373 24h
    		+3¢—
    10
    Above 210
    		9¢9¢
    $9.2K+$1.5K 24h
    		——
    11
    Above 220📈 Trending
    		6¢6¢
    $9.8K+$4.3K 24h
    		+1¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Above 150
    97%
    97¢—
    2Above 160
    94%
    94¢—
    3Above 170
    91%
    91¢+7¢
    4Above 180
    73%
    73¢+6¢
    5Above 185
    57%
    57¢+12¢
    6Above 190
    42%
    42¢—
    7Above 195
    38%
    38¢+1¢
    8Above 200
    27%
    27¢+2¢
    9Above 205
    19%
    19¢+3¢
    10Above 210
    9¢—
    11Above 220
    6¢+1¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Oct 27, 2026

    ~6 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    11
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $90.5K

    Whale Activity

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