Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/9 - 11/15)

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 190

51% chance

Yes51%

Buy Yes51¢53¢ after fees

No49%

Buy No50¢52¢ after fees

Resolves: Nov 17, 2026
Volume: $3.6K
24h: $600

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes51%—51¢

51¢53¢ after fees

No50%—50¢

50¢52¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Kalshiat 51¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 190 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules on Kalshi ↗

About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/9 - 11/15)
Resolves: Tue, November 17, 2026