International

    Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/9 - 11/15)

    Above 170 leads by 8 pts · 9 candidates at 5%+

    1. Above 170#198%
    2. Above 175#290%
    3. Above 180#382%
    #4 Above 18568%#5 Above 19051%+6 more
    Resolves
    Nov 17, 2026
    Volume
    $38.8K
    24h
    $13.4K
    Candidates
    11
    kalshi1 venue · 11 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Above 17098%
    • Above 17590%
    • Above 18082%
    • Above 18568%
    • Above 19051%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

    Deposit $10, get $25

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    Signals

    3 signals
    1. Above 20024h
      ▼ 4¢ in 24hkalshi
    2. Above 21024h
      ▼ 4¢ in 24hkalshi
    3. Above 19524h
      ▲ 3¢ in 24hkalshi

    Every candidate, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Above 170$10 vol98%▼ 1kalshi98¢99¢ after fees
    Above 175$4.2K vol90%▼ 1kalshi90¢91¢ after fees
    Above 180$6.5K vol82%▲ 2kalshi82¢84¢ after fees
    Above 185$7.8K vol68%▼ 2kalshi68¢70¢ after fees
    Above 190$3.6K vol51%▼ 1kalshi51¢53¢ after fees
    Above 195$3.1K vol47%▲ 3kalshi47¢49¢ after fees
    Above 200$3.4K vol26%▼ 4kalshi26¢28¢ after fees
    Above 205$2.7K vol16%▼ 2kalshi16¢17¢ after fees
    Above 210$3.0K vol6%▼ 4kalshi6¢7¢ after fees
    Above 220$37 vol4%▼ 2kalshi4¢5¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

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    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Tue, November 17, 2026
    kalshiCompared across 1 venue

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