Compare odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, and PredictIt. Spot arbitrage. Track what matters.
Republican presidential nominee in 2028?
Who will win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
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Politics
CFTC Issues Blanket Reporting Relief for Prediction Market Exchanges
On May 13, 2026, CFTC staff replaced one-off swap data reporting exemptions with a scalable blanket no-action letter for fully collateralized event contracts — what it means for Kalshi, Polymarket US, and new entrants.
Prediction Markets Face a Reckoning: 400 Suspicious Trades, NFL Demands, and $178 Billion in Volume
Kalshi flagged 400+ suspicious trades in 2026—double last year—as volumes hit $178 billion annualized. The NFL is demanding the CFTC ban injury markets and restrict sports trading to users 21+. Here is what traders need to know.
Economics
Bulgaria Wins Eurovision 2026: How Prediction Markets Missed One of the Contest's Biggest Upsets
Bulgaria's DARA won Eurovision 2026 with Bangaranga despite entering the Grand Final as a clear market underdog. Here's what prediction markets got right and wrong about the 70th Eurovision Song Contest.
Eurovision 2026 Semi-Final 2 Tonight: Denmark Emerges, Australia's Jury Bid, and What Prediction Markets See Before Saturday
Eurovision 2026 Semi-Final 2 kicks off at 21:00 CEST tonight. Denmark leads the SF2 winner market at 37%, Australia leads the jury market at 35%, and Finland holds at 44.5% to win the Grand Final. Here's what prediction markets say before the board resets.
Crypto
Sports
2026 NBA Western Conference Finals: Prediction Markets Set Oklahoma City at 69%, Spurs at 24% for Title
Oklahoma City is priced 69% to win the 2026 NBA WCF over San Antonio. With 86% implied title odds if they advance, the WCF is the de facto championship decider.
2026 PGA Championship Final Round: How Prediction Markets Are Pricing the Race for the Wanamaker Trophy
The PGA Championship final round is live at Aronimink. Jon Rahm leads the Polymarket board at 22.6 cents despite trailing 54-hole leader Alex Smalley by a stroke. Here is why.
