TRADING OPEN

    Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?

    Resolves Oct 31, 2026
    Total Volume

    $477.3K

    +$4.2K (24h)

    Active Markets

    12

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    74¢

    October 22

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -28¢

    October 21

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    12 open
    #
    174¢74¢
    $572+$255 24h
    -1¢—
    274¢74¢
    $21+$13 24h
    -13¢—
    372¢72¢
    $0
    -17¢—
    472¢72¢
    $0
    -17¢—
    572¢72¢
    $0
    -17¢—
    672¢72¢
    $0
    -17¢—
    772¢72¢
    $8
    -17¢—
    870¢70¢
    $0
    -19¢—
    970¢70¢
    $0
    -19¢—
    1068¢68¢
    $202+$188 24h
    -21¢—
    1142¢42¢
    $21.6K+$1.8K 24h
    -28¢—
    122¢2¢
    $5.5K+$147 24h
    -1¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1October 22
    74%
    74¢-1¢
    2October 24
    74%
    74¢-13¢
    3October 26
    72%
    72¢-17¢
    4October 27
    72%
    72¢-17¢
    5October 31
    72%
    72¢-17¢
    6October 28
    72%
    72¢-17¢
    7October 25
    72%
    72¢-17¢
    8October 29
    70%
    70¢-19¢
    9October 30
    70%
    70¢-19¢
    10October 23
    68%
    68¢-21¢
    11October 21
    42%
    42¢-28¢
    12October 19
    2¢-1¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Oct 31, 2026

    ~11 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    29
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $477.3K

    Whale Activity

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