When will the US add a 51st state?

Before Jan 1, 2035 leads by 4 pts · 7 candidates at 5%+

1 venue · 7 markets

Who’s winning

Top 5, each at its busiest venue

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3 signals

1 venue

Chance

Best

Before Jan 1, 2035$2 vol29%▼ 433¢

33¢35¢ after fees

Before Jan 1, 2034$0 vol25%▼ 429¢

29¢31¢ after fees

Before Jan 1, 2033$0 vol21%▼ 425¢

25¢27¢ after fees

Before Jan 1, 2032$2 vol18%▼ 422¢

22¢24¢ after fees

Before Jan 1, 2031$0 vol16%▼ 420¢

20¢22¢ after fees

Before Jan 1, 2030$0 vol13%▼ 417¢

17¢18¢ after fees

Before Jan 20, 2029$90.5K vol8%▼ 110¢

10¢11¢ after fees

Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

Biggest trades

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Compared across 1 venue