Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

    Resolves Dec 31, 2026
    Total Volume

    $35.1M

    +$162.1K (24h)

    Active Markets

    3

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    16¢

    December 31

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -1¢

    September 30

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    3 markets · Showing 3
    #
    116¢16¢
    $30.7M+$28.4K 24h
    2
    $980.3K+$14.7K 24h
    -1¢
    3
    $3.4M+$118.9K 24h

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1December 31
    16%
    16¢
    2September 30
    -1¢
    3June 30

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Dec 31, 2026

    ~212 days remaining
    Category
    Culture
    Markets
    3
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $35.1M

    Whale Activity

    Mega

    bought $228K No on May 31

    polymarket · 11 days ago

    Mega

    bought $113K No on May 31

    polymarket · 3 days ago

    Mega

    bought $76K No on May 31

    polymarket · 15 days ago

    Mega

    bought $57K No on May 31

    polymarket · 14 days ago

    View all whale activity →

    Timeline

    • Price MoveJun 2, 8:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 5.6% in 24h

      June 30 · Polymarket

    • Price MoveJun 2, 8:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 11.1% in 24h

      September 30 · Polymarket

    • Price MoveJun 2, 7:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 11.1% in 24h

      September 30 · Polymarket

    • Price MoveJun 2, 6:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 5.6% in 24h

      June 30 · Polymarket

    • Price MoveJun 2, 5:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 5.6% in 24h

      June 30 · Polymarket