Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

    Resolves Dec 31, 2026
    Total Volume

    $37.2M

    +$628.3K (24h)

    Active Markets

    4

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    14¢

    December 31

    Biggest Mover 24h

    +1¢

    December 31

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    4 markets · Showing 4
    #24H
    114¢14¢
    $29.6M+$73.0K 24h
    +1¢
    2
    $711.6K+$45.4K 24h
    3
    $1.8M+$215.7K 24h
    4
    $5.1M+$294.2K 24h

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1December 31
    14%
    14¢+1¢
    2September 30
    3June 30
    4May 31

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Dec 31, 2026

    ~226 days remaining
    Category
    Culture
    Markets
    4
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $37.2M

    Whale Activity

    Mega

    bought $98K No on December 31

    polymarket · 10 days ago

    Mega

    bought $87K No on December 31

    polymarket · 11 days ago

    Mega

    bought $76K No on May 31

    polymarket · 1 day ago

    Mega

    bought $61K No on December 31

    polymarket · 11 days ago

    View all whale activity →

    Timeline

    • Price MoveMay 19, 8:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved up by 5.3% in 24h

      June 30 · Polymarket

    • Price MoveMay 19, 8:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved up by 7.7% in 24h

      December 31 · Polymarket

    • Price MoveMay 19, 7:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved up by 5.3% in 24h

      June 30 · Polymarket

    • Price MoveMay 19, 7:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved up by 7.7% in 24h

      December 31 · Polymarket

    • Price MoveMay 19, 7:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 7.7% in 24h

      May 31 · Polymarket