Beta
    LIVE

    December 31

    Volume

    $30.7M

    $28.4K 24h

    Platforms

    1

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Dec 31, 2026

    ~212 days left

    Category

    Culture

    16¢CHANCE OF YES16%84%
    Yes
    16¢
    Polymarket
    No
    85¢
    Polymarket

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    1 platform
    PPolymarket
    Best Yes
    Best No
    Yes
    16¢
    No
    85¢
    Vol
    $30.7M
    $28.4K 24h
    Trade on Polymarket

    Price History

    May 27 11:00May 28 15:00May 29 20:00May 31 00:00Jun 1 03:00Jun 2 08:289¢12¢15¢18¢21¢

    About This Market

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

    How This Resolves

    PPolymarket

    Source: UMA oracle / official announcements

    Rule: Resolves based on official announcement. Admin review for ambiguous outcomes.

    View rule How to verify

    Market Quality

    Kalshi:Broad consensus
    Poly:Concentrated
    Vol: $2.1M / $8.4M · Largest pos: <4% / ~18%

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    PPolymarketat 16¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    Full calculator

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    Market Details

    ResolutionResolves Dec 31, 2026
    Time Left212 days
    Status● Active
    CategoryCulture

    Related reading

    External
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