Geopolitics

    Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?

    46% chance · down 13 pts today

    Yes46%▼ 13Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USYes48¢49¢ after fees
    No54%▲ 13Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USNo57¢58¢ after fees
    Resolves
    Dec 31, 2026
    Volume
    $65.2K
    24h
    $331
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1 venue · 1 market

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    1. Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?24h
      ▼ 13¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every venue’s price

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes46%▼ 13Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US48¢49¢ after fees
    No54%▲ 13Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US57¢58¢ after fees

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Thu, December 31, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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