TRADING OPEN

    Will Russia target Kyiv on...?

    Resolves Oct 31, 2026
    Total Volume

    $789.3K

    +$55.4K (24h)

    Active Markets

    11

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    95¢

    October 22

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -7¢

    October 27

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    11 open
    #
    1
    October 22
    		95¢95¢
    $21.3K+$746 24h
    		+2¢—
    2
    October 26 Hot
    		90¢90¢
    $367+$34 24h
    		-3¢—
    3
    October 28
    		89¢89¢
    $236
    		-5¢—
    4
    October 23
    		88¢88¢
    $7.1K+$1.7K 24h
    		+3¢—
    5
    October 27
    		88¢88¢
    $143+$23 24h
    		-7¢—
    6
    October 30 Hot
    		88¢88¢
    $326+$20 24h
    		-6¢—
    7
    October 25
    		87¢87¢
    $4.3K+$50 24h
    		-3¢—
    8
    October 29
    		87¢87¢
    $9.4K+$753 24h
    		+6¢—
    9
    October 24
    		87¢87¢
    $7.1K+$137 24h
    		+1¢—
    10
    October 31 Hot
    		84¢84¢
    $862+$68 24h
    		-6¢—
    11
    October 17
    		12¢12¢
    $94.1K+$10.2K 24h
    		-3¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1October 22
    95%
    95¢+2¢
    2October 26
    90%
    90¢-3¢
    3October 28
    89%
    89¢-5¢
    4October 23
    88%
    88¢+3¢
    5October 27
    88%
    88¢-7¢
    6October 30
    88%
    88¢-6¢
    7October 25
    87%
    87¢-3¢
    8October 29
    87%
    87¢+6¢
    9October 24
    87%
    87¢+1¢
    10October 31
    84%
    84¢-6¢
    11October 17
    12%
    12¢-3¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Oct 31, 2026

    ~11 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    31
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $789.3K

    Whale Activity

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