Geopolitics

    Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by...?

    45% chance · down 12 pts today

    Yes45%▼ 12Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USYes46¢no fee
    No55%▲ 12Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USNo57¢no fee
    Resolves
    Dec 31, 2026
    Volume
    $61.7K
    24h
    $268
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1 venue · 2 markets

    Chance over time

    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    1 signal
    1. December 3124h
      ▼ 12¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every venue’s price

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes45%▼ 12Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US46¢no fee
    No55%▲ 12Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US57¢no fee

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Thu, December 31, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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