Will Papua New Guinea ratify Bougainville independence?

    Will Papua New Guinea ratify Bougainville independence? Live odds across 2 markets: Before Jan 1, 2028 at 56¢. Resolves Jan 1, 2028. Not financial advice.

    Resolves Jan 1, 2028

    TRADING OPEN
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    Will Papua New Guinea ratify Bougainville independence?

    Resolves Jan 1, 2028
    Total Volume

    $15.1K

    +$0 (24h)

    Active Markets

    2

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    56¢

    Before Jan 1, 2028

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -3¢

    Before Jan 1, 2027

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    2 markets · Showing 2
    #
    156¢56¢
    $9.4K
    -1¢
    214¢14¢
    $5.8K
    -3¢

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Before Jan 1, 2028
    56%
    56¢-1¢
    2Before Jan 1, 2027
    14%
    14¢-3¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jan 1, 2028

    ~474 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    2
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $15.1K

    Whale Activity

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