International

    Will Papua New Guinea ratify Bougainville independence?

    Before Jan 1, 2028 leads by 39 pts · 2 candidates at 5%+

    1. Before Jan 1, 2028#154%
    2. Before Jan 1, 2027#215%
    Resolves
    Jan 1, 2028
    Volume
    $15.6K
    24h
    $0
    Candidates
    2
    kalshi1 venue · 2 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Before Jan 1, 202854%
    • Before Jan 1, 202715%
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    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every candidate, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Before Jan 1, 2028$9.5K vol54%▼ 1kalshi55¢57¢ after fees
    Before Jan 1, 2027$6.1K vol15%▼ 2kalshi17¢18¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

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    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Sat, January 1, 2028
    kalshiCompared across 1 venue

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