Geopolitics

    Will Iran hold a presidential election by...?

    5% chance · down 3 pts today

    Yes5%▼ 3kalshiYes7¢no fee
    No95%▲ 3kalshiNo97¢no fee
    Resolves
    Jan 1, 2027
    Volume
    $50.0K
    24h
    $0
    Liquidity
    $6.1K
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US2 venues · 1 market

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    Signals

    1 signal
    1. Before Jan 1, 202724h
      ▼ 3¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi

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    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    Yes5%▼ 3kalshi7¢no fee
    No95%▲ 3kalshi97¢no fee

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    kalshiKalshi

    If Iran holds a presidential election before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place. Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution. Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place. Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution. Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Fri, January 1, 2027
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 2 venues

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