Science & Tech

    Will an LLM beat a grandmaster in chess?

    Before 2030 leads by 8 pts · 4 outcomes at 5%+

    1. Before 2030#176%
    2. Before 2029#268%
    3. Before 2028#344%
    #4 Before 20278%
    Resolves
    Jan 1, 2030
    Volume
    $11.0K
    24h
    $0
    Outcomes
    4
    kalshi1 venue · 4 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Before 203076%
    • Before 202968%
    • Before 202844%
    • Before 20278%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

    Deposit $10, get $25

    Trading bonus for new sign-ups.

    Claim offer 1 / 5

    Sponsored · We may earn a commission · 18+ · Trade responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER

    Signals

    3 signals
    1. Before 203024h
      ▼ 4¢ in 24hkalshi
    2. Before 202924h
      ▼ 4¢ in 24hkalshi
    3. Before 202824h
      ▼ 4¢ in 24hkalshi

    Every outcome, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Before 2030$378 vol76%▼ 4kalshi79¢81¢ after fees
    Before 2029$796 vol68%▼ 4kalshi71¢73¢ after fees
    Before 2028$4.3K vol44%▼ 4kalshi47¢49¢ after fees
    Before 2027$5.5K vol8%▼ 4kalshi10¢11¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

    Loading trades…

    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Tue, January 1, 2030
    kalshiCompared across 1 venue

    More in Science & Tech

    All Science & Tech