Geopolitics

    Who will receive the second mandate to form Israel's next government?

    No second mandate leads by 9 pts · 2 candidates at 5%+

    1. No second mandate#149%
    2. Benjamin Netanyahu#240%
    3. Benny Gantz#32%
    #4 Itamar Ben Gvir1%#5 Avigdor Lieberman1%+16 more
    Resolves
    Dec 31, 2026
    Volume
    $31.4K
    24h
    $855
    Candidates
    21
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1 venue · 21 markets

    Who’s winning

    • No second mandate49%
    • Benjamin Netanyahu40%
    • Benny Gantz2%
    • Itamar Ben Gvir1%
    • Avigdor Lieberman1%
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    Signals

    1 signal
    1. Benjamin Netanyahu24h
      ▼ 5¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every candidate, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    No second mandate$5.5K vol49%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US50¢51¢ after fees
    Benjamin Netanyahu$9.2K vol40%▼ 5Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US42¢43¢ after fees
    Benny Gantz$959 vol2%▼ 2Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US4¢4¢ after fees
    Itamar Ben Gvir$678 vol1%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US2¢2¢ after fees
    Avigdor Lieberman$1.1K vol1%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US2¢2¢ after fees
    Gideon Sa’ar$933 vol1%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1¢1¢ after fees
    Yoaz Hendel$941 vol1%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1¢1¢ after fees
    Nir Barkat$284 vol1%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1¢1¢ after fees
    Amir Ohana$252 vol1%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1¢1¢ after fees
    Eli Cohen$960 vol1%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1¢1¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

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    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Thu, December 31, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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