TRADING OPEN

    Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government?

    Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked by the President of Israel with forming a government following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked with forming a government after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally tasked with forming a government by the President of Israel. Recommendations made to the President by parties or members of the Knesset, and the President's consultations, will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no individual is tasked with forming a government by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    Resolves Oct 27, 2026
    Total Volume

    $20.1K

    +$8.6K (24h)

    Active Markets

    19

    Across 2 platforms

    Frontrunner

    56¢

    Gadi Eisenkot

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -5¢

    Gadi Eisenkot

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    19 markets
    #
    156¢58¢52¢
    $10.5K+$7.7K 24h
    -5¢
    2¢
    233¢31¢35¢
    $1.5K+$540 24h
    -3¢
    2¢
    31¢1¢3¢
    $452+$15 24h
    -1¢
    1¢
    41¢1¢5¢
    $469+$28 24h
    -5¢
    3¢
    51¢1¢—
    $499+$15 24h
    ——
    61¢1¢3¢
    $661+$15 24h
    —
    1¢
    71¢1¢3¢
    $373+$15 24h
    —
    1¢
    81¢1¢—
    $693+$15 24h
    -3¢—
    91¢1¢—
    $374+$15 24h
    ——
    101¢1¢—
    $418+$15 24h
    ——
    111¢1¢—
    $378+$15 24h
    ——
    121¢1¢—
    $464+$15 24h
    ——
    131¢1¢—
    $692+$15 24h
    ——
    141¢1¢—
    $460+$15 24h
    ——
    150¢0¢3¢
    $348+$15 24h
    —
    1¢
    160¢0¢—
    $353+$15 24h
    ——
    170¢0¢—
    $463+$15 24h
    ——
    180¢0¢—
    $465+$99 24h
    -2¢—
    190¢0¢—
    $514
    ——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Gadi Eisenkot
    56%
    56¢-5¢
    2Benjamin Netanyahu
    33%
    33¢-3¢
    3Yair Lapid
    1¢-1¢
    4Naftali Bennett
    1¢-5¢
    5Yair Golan
    1¢—
    6Amir Ohana
    1¢—
    7Avigdor Lieberman
    0¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Oct 27, 2026

    ~7 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    19
    Platforms
    2
    Total Volume
    $20.1K

    Whale Activity

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