Geopolitics

    Which parties will be in the next Berlin state government?

    Linke leads by 5 pts

    1. Linke#110%
    2. Grüne#25%
    3. SPD#34%
    #4 BSW2%#5 AfD2%+2 more
    Resolves
    Dec 31, 2026
    Volume
    $48.6K
    24h
    $1.2K
    Candidates
    7
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1 venue · 7 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Linke10%
    • Grüne5%
    • SPD4%
    • BSW2%
    • AfD2%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    1 signal
    1. Linke24h
      ▲ 4¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every candidate, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Linke$14.5K vol10%▲ 4Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US15¢16¢ after fees
    Grüne$7.1K vol5%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US7¢8¢ after fees
    SPD$12.2K vol4%▼ 2Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US7¢7¢ after fees
    BSW$1.6K vol2%▼ 2Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US4¢4¢ after fees
    AfD$2.4K vol2%▼ 2Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US4¢4¢ after fees
    FW$2.5K vol1%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US3¢3¢ after fees
    FDP$955 vol1%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US2¢2¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

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    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Thu, December 31, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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