Science & Tech

    Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

    No solution by Dec 31, 2027 leads by 5 pts · 4 outcomes at 5%+

    1. No solution by Dec 31, 2027#132%
    2. Yang-Mills#227%
    3. Hodge Conjecture#320%
    #4 Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer8%#5 Riemann Hypothesis4%+1 more
    Resolves
    Dec 31, 2027
    Volume
    $340.7K
    24h
    $1.1K
    Outcomes
    6
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1 venue · 6 markets

    Who’s winning

    • No solution by Dec 31, 202732%
    • Yang-Mills27%
    • Hodge Conjecture20%
    • Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer8%
    • Riemann Hypothesis4%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    3 signals
    1. Yang-Mills24h
      ▼ 10¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    2. Hodge Conjecture24h
      ▼ 3¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    3. Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer24h
      ▼ 3¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every outcome, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    No solution by Dec 31, 2027$113.4K vol32%▲ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US33¢34¢ after fees
    Yang-Mills$41.5K vol27%▼ 10Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US33¢34¢ after fees
    Hodge Conjecture$93.7K vol20%▼ 3Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US22¢23¢ after fees
    Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer$47.1K vol8%▼ 3Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US9¢9¢ after fees
    Riemann Hypothesis$27.3K vol4%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US6¢6¢ after fees
    P versus NP$17.8K vol2%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US3¢3¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

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    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Fri, December 31, 2027
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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