Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?
Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027? Live odds across 15 markets: Belgium at 17¢. Resolves Jan 1, 2027. Not financial advice.
Resolves Jan 1, 2027
- Finland: Yes 9¢ (kalshi)
- Italy: Yes 11¢ (kalshi)
- Germany: Yes 5¢ (polymarket)
- Japan: Yes 8¢ (polymarket)
- Greece: Yes 9¢ (kalshi)
- New Zealand: Yes 8¢ (kalshi)
- United States: Yes 2¢ (polymarket)
- The Netherlands: Yes 10¢ (polymarket)
- Austria: Yes 9¢ (kalshi)
- Israel: Yes 4¢ (polymarket)
- Belgium: Yes 17¢ (polymarket)
- Switzerland: Yes 4¢ (kalshi)
Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
$855.8K
+$22 (24h)
15
Across 2 platforms
17¢
Belgium
-9¢
Finland
0
None detected
All Markets
| # | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17¢ | — | 17¢ | $78.9K | -1¢ | — | |
| 2 | 10¢ | 10¢ | 10¢ | $42.0K | -1¢ | — | |
| 3 | 10¢ | 8¢ | 10¢ | $48.4K+$22 24h | -9¢ | — | |
| 4 | 9¢ | 9¢ | 9¢ | $68.1K | -1¢ | — | |
| 5 | 8¢ | 7¢ | 10¢ | $134.1K | -4¢ | — | |
| 6 | 8¢ | 9¢ | 7¢ | $63.4K | -1¢ | — | |
| 7 | 6¢ | 7¢ | 6¢ | $53.9K | -2¢ | — | |
| 8 | 6¢ | 6¢ | 6¢ | $182.2K | -2¢ | — | |
| 9 | 5¢ | 5¢ | — | $939 | -2¢ | — | |
| 10 | 5¢ | 5¢ | — | $478 | -3¢ | — | |
| 11 | 5¢ | 6¢ | 5¢ | $136.5K | -1¢ | — | |
| 12 | 5¢ | 5¢ | — | $6.7K | -1¢ | — | |
| 13 | 4¢ | — | 4¢ | $292 | -2¢ | — | |
| 14 | 4¢ | 4¢ | — | $6.9K | -3¢ | — | |
| 15 | 2¢ | 3¢ | 2¢ | $33.0K | -2¢ | — |
Implied Probability
Consensus across platformsEvent Info
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