TRADING OPEN

    Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

    Resolves Dec 31, 2026
    Total Volume

    $941.3K

    +$13.1K (24h)

    Active Markets

    16

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    11¢

    Venezuela

    Biggest Mover 24h

    +3¢

    Venezuela

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    16 markets
    #
    1
    Venezuela
    		11¢11¢
    $391.6K+$4.5K 24h
    		+3¢—
    2
    Lebanon
    		7¢7¢
    $121.1K
    		——
    3
    Tunisia
    		6¢6¢
    $24.1K
    		——
    4
    Indonesia
    		4¢4¢
    $28.5K+$1.3K 24h
    		——
    5
    Iraq
    		4¢4¢
    $17.7K
    		——
    6
    Pakistan
    		4¢4¢
    $27.1K
    		——
    7
    Saudi Arabia
    		4¢4¢
    $87.9K+$1.5K 24h
    		-1¢—
    8
    Syria
    		4¢4¢
    $22.6K
    		——
    9
    Kuwait
    		3¢3¢
    $31.4K
    		——
    10
    Cuba
    		3¢3¢
    $16.0K
    		——
    11
    North Korea
    		3¢3¢
    $24.4K
    		——
    12
    Afghanistan
    		3¢3¢
    $44.4K+$3.9K 24h
    		——
    13
    Iran
    		3¢3¢
    $20.5K
    		——
    14
    Qatar
    		3¢3¢
    $51.5K+$1.6K 24h
    		——
    15
    Malaysia
    		3¢3¢
    $15.1K
    		——
    16
    Bangladesh
    		1¢1¢
    $17.4K+$251 24h
    		——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Venezuela
    11¢+3¢
    2Lebanon
    7¢—
    3Tunisia
    6¢—
    4Indonesia
    4¢—
    5Iraq
    4¢—
    6Pakistan
    4¢—
    7Saudi Arabia
    4¢-1¢
    8Syria
    4¢—
    9Kuwait
    3¢—
    10Cuba
    3¢—
    11North Korea
    3¢—
    12Afghanistan
    3¢—
    13Iran
    3¢—
    14Qatar
    3¢—
    15Malaysia
    3¢—
    16Bangladesh
    1¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Dec 31, 2026

    ~72 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    16
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $941.3K

    Whale Activity

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