TRADING OPEN
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    Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

    Resolves Jan 1, 2027
    Total Volume

    $12.5K

    +$12.5K (24h)

    Active Markets

    19

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    45¢

    USA

    Biggest Mover 24h

    +45¢

    USA

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    19 markets · Showing 19
    #
    145¢45¢
    $1.5K+$1.5K 24h
    +45¢
    215¢15¢
    $1.0K+$1.0K 24h
    +15¢
    313¢13¢
    $609+$609 24h
    +13¢
    410¢10¢
    $611+$611 24h
    +10¢
    5
    $569+$569 24h
    +8¢
    6
    $579+$579 24h
    +7¢
    7
    $566+$566 24h
    +7¢
    8
    $688+$688 24h
    +5¢
    9
    $620+$620 24h
    +4¢
    10
    $567+$567 24h
    +4¢
    11
    $591+$591 24h
    +3¢
    12
    $745+$745 24h
    +3¢
    13
    $531+$531 24h
    +3¢
    14
    $645+$645 24h
    +2¢
    15
    $631+$631 24h
    +2¢
    16
    $531+$531 24h
    +2¢
    17
    $556+$556 24h
    +1¢
    18
    $403+$403 24h
    +1¢
    19
    $581+$581 24h
    +1¢

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1USA
    45%
    45¢+45¢
    2No Meeting by December 31
    15%
    15¢+15¢
    3Qatar
    13%
    13¢+13¢
    4Turkey
    10¢+10¢
    5Switzerland
    +8¢
    6Iran
    +7¢
    7Oman
    +7¢
    8Austria
    +5¢
    9UAE
    +4¢
    10Iraq
    +4¢
    11Pakistan
    +3¢
    12Egypt
    +3¢
    13Other - Europe
    +3¢
    14Italy
    +2¢
    15Saudi Arabia
    +2¢
    16Other
    +2¢
    17Other - Middle East/North Africa
    +1¢
    18Kazakhstan
    +1¢
    19Russia
    +1¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jan 1, 2027

    ~100 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    19
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $12.5K

    Whale Activity

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