Public Health

    What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?

    At least 2000 leads by 1 pt · 4 outcomes at 5%+

    1. At least 2000#198%
    2. At least 3000#297%
    3. At least 2500#397%
    #4 At least 350088%
    Resolves
    Jan 1, 2029
    Volume
    $93.5K
    24h
    $26
    Outcomes
    4
    kalshi1 venue · 4 markets

    Who’s winning

    • At least 200098%
    • At least 300097%
    • At least 250097%
    • At least 350088%
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    Signals

    1 signal
    1. At least 350024h
      ▼ 7¢ in 24hkalshi

    Every outcome, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    At least 2000$33.8K vol98%—kalshi98¢99¢ after fees
    At least 3000$3.6K vol97%——
    At least 2500$2.4K vol97%——
    At least 3500$1.0K vol88%▼ 7kalshi95¢96¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

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    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Mon, January 1, 2029
    kalshiCompared across 1 venue

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