US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?

    7% chance · down 4 pts today

    Yes7%▼ 4kalshiYes12¢13¢ after fees
    No93%▲ 4kalshiNo92¢93¢ after fees
    Resolves
    Jan 1, 2027
    Volume
    $55.7K
    24h
    $153
    Liquidity
    $12.1K
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US2 venues · 1 market

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    Signals

    2 signals
    1. Before Jan 1, 202724h
      ▼ 4¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi
    2. Before Jan 1, 202724h
      4¢ apart across venuesPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi

    Every venue’s price

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    Yes7%▼ 4kalshi12¢13¢ after fees
    No94%▲ 4kalshi92¢93¢ after fees

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If the bilateral U.S.–Saudi agreement for peaceful nuclear cooperation under Section 123 of the Atomic Energy Act has entered into force and become legally operative between the two governments after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if the bilateral U.S.–Saudi agreement for peaceful nuclear cooperation under Section 123 of the Atomic Energy Act enters into force and becomes legally operative between the two governments between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if the bilateral U.S.–Saudi agreement for peaceful nuclear cooperation under Section 123 of the Atomic Energy Act enters into force and becomes legally operative between the two governments between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Fri, January 1, 2027
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 2 venues

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