Geopolitics

    Spain General Election: Left-Right Seat Margin of Victory

    Right 50-59 seats leads by 1 pt · 7 candidates at 5%+

    1. Right 50-59 seats#121%
    2. Right 40-49 seats#220%
    3. Right 20-29 seats#318%
    #4 Right 60-69 seats7%#5 Right 1-9 seats5%+4 more
    Resolves
    Nov 29, 2026
    Volume
    $15.8K
    24h
    $1.8K
    Candidates
    9
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1 venue · 9 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Right 50-59 seats21%
    • Right 40-49 seats20%
    • Right 20-29 seats18%
    • Right 60-69 seats7%
    • Right 1-9 seats5%
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    Signals

    3 signals
    1. Right 20-29 seats24h
      ▼ 17¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    2. Right 40-49 seats24h
      ▼ 10¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    3. Right 1-9 seats24h
      ▼ 5¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every candidate, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Right 50-59 seats$3.6K vol21%▲ 3Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US22¢23¢ after fees
    Right 40-49 seats$1.7K vol20%▼ 10Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US23¢24¢ after fees
    Right 20-29 seats$145 vol18%▼ 17Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US24¢25¢ after fees
    Right 60-69 seats$4.9K vol7%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US10¢10¢ after fees
    Right 1-9 seats$1.2K vol5%▼ 5Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US10¢10¢ after fees
    Right 80+ seats$1.7K vol5%▼ 2Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US9¢10¢ after fees
    Right 70-79 seats$1.6K vol5%▼ 2Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US7¢7¢ after fees
    Left 1+ seats$201 vol4%▼ 3Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US8¢8¢ after fees
    Tie$401 vol3%▼ 3Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US5¢5¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

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    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Sun, November 29, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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