Spain General Election: 2nd Place

    PSOE leads by 67 pts · 3 candidates at 5%+

    1. PSOE#183%
    2. PP#216%
    3. People's Party#314%
    Resolves
    Nov 29, 2026
    Volume
    $19.2K
    24h
    $204
    Liquidity
    $67.3K
    Candidates
    6
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi2 venues · 6 markets

    Who’s winning

    • PSOE83%
    • PP16%
    • People's Party14%
    • Vox2%
    • Podemos1%
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    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every candidate, every venue

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    PSOE$6.4K vol83%—kalshi87¢88¢ after fees
    PP$2.7K vol16%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US16¢no fee
    People's Party$1.5K vol14%—kalshi16¢17¢ after fees
    Vox$2.2K vol2%▼ 2kalshi2¢3¢ after fees
    Podemos$4.7K vol1%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1¢no fee
    Broad Front (FA)$1.6K vol1%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1¢no fee

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Where venues disagree

    Yes price
    • Polymarket (global)
    • Kalshi
    • Consensus

    Same candidate, different price: buy where it’s cheapest.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    Legislative elections to elect the 350 members of the Congress of Deputies of Spain are scheduled to take place on November 29, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Congress of Deputies of Spain as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by November 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this marke…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗
    kalshiKalshi

    If the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Spanish general election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗

    About this market

    Legislative elections to elect the 350 members of the Congress of Deputies of Spain are scheduled to take place on November 29, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Congress of Deputies of Spain as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by November 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will be ranked by the number of seats won by their electoral lists (candidaturas) nationwide in this election, attributed as set out below. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by their lists nationwide, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats and votes will be attributed according to the electoral list on which they were obtained, as reported in the official results, regardless of the party membership of individual candidates. Lists will be attributed as follows: PSOE: lists of the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party, including the Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC) lists in Catalonia. PP: lists of the People's Party, including the joint UPN–PP list in Navarre. Broad Front (FA): all Broad Front lists, including Catalunya en Comú in Catalonia, Compromís–Valencian Front in the Valencian Community, and Canarian People’s Unity (UPC) in the Canary Islands. ERC: Republican Left of Catalonia lists, including the joint ERC–Podem lists in Catalonia. Podemos: only lists presented by Podemos on its own. CCa: Canarian Coalition lists, including the joint CCa–1º CAN lists in the Canary Islands. Any other list will be attributed to the party or coalition that presents it, as named in the official proclamation of candidacies. Electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Spanish Ministry of the Interior (https://infoelectoral.interior.gob.es/).

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Sun, November 29, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshiCompared across 2 venues

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