TRADING OPEN

    Shipping successfully targeted in Hormuz on...?

    Resolves Oct 31, 2026
    Total Volume

    $53.0K

    +$2.5K (24h)

    Active Markets

    20

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    99¢

    October 18

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -53¢

    October 15

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    20 open
    #
    1
    October 18📈 Trending
    99¢99¢
    $1.1K+$330 24h
    +9¢—
    2
    October 20📈 Trending
    91¢91¢
    $1.2K+$705 24h
    +45¢—
    3
    October 21📈 Trending
    84¢84¢
    $817+$697 24h
    +10¢—
    473¢73¢
    $999
    -26¢—
    572¢72¢
    $1.3K
    -28¢—
    662¢62¢
    $1.3K
    -34¢—
    762¢62¢
    $919
    -33¢—
    854¢54¢
    $47+$47 24h
    -39¢—
    951¢51¢
    $0
    -42¢—
    1051¢51¢
    $0
    -41¢—
    1150¢50¢
    $0
    -42¢—
    1250¢50¢
    $0
    -43¢—
    1350¢50¢
    $0
    -43¢—
    1450¢50¢
    $0
    -42¢—
    1550¢50¢
    $0
    -43¢—
    1650¢50¢
    $0
    -43¢—
    1743¢43¢
    $261+$261 24h
    -12¢—
    1837¢37¢
    $1.6K+$69 24h
    -53¢—
    1926¢26¢
    $314+$134 24h
    -5¢—
    206¢6¢
    $1.1K+$273 24h
    -14¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1October 18
    99%
    99¢+9¢
    2October 20
    91%
    91¢+45¢
    3October 21
    84%
    84¢+10¢
    4October 5
    73%
    73¢-26¢
    5October 2
    72%
    72¢-28¢
    6October 4
    62%
    62¢-34¢
    7October 11
    62%
    62¢-33¢
    8October 23
    54%
    54¢-39¢
    9October 24
    51%
    51¢-42¢
    10October 31
    51%
    51¢-41¢
    11October 30
    50%
    50¢-42¢
    12October 28
    50%
    50¢-43¢
    13October 26
    50%
    50¢-43¢
    14October 25
    50%
    50¢-42¢
    15October 27
    50%
    50¢-43¢
    16October 29
    50%
    50¢-43¢
    17October 22
    43%
    43¢-12¢
    18October 15
    37%
    37¢-53¢
    19October 19
    26%
    26¢-5¢
    20October 17
    6¢-14¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Oct 31, 2026

    ~11 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    31
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $53.0K

    Whale Activity

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