TRADING OPEN

    Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

    Resolves Oct 25, 2026
    Total Volume

    $45.0K

    +$323 (24h)

    Active Markets

    6

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    4¢

    Ruas 5-10%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -3¢

    Ruas <5%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    6 markets
    #
    14¢4¢
    $11.3K+$1 24h
    -3¢—
    23¢3¢
    $11.5K+$19 24h
    -3¢—
    33¢3¢
    $8.5K+$1 24h
    -1¢—
    41¢1¢
    $7.8K+$102 24h
    -3¢—
    51¢1¢
    $696+$200 24h
    -2¢—
    60¢0¢
    $5.3K
    ——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Ruas 5-10%
    4¢-3¢
    2Ruas 10-15%
    3¢-3¢
    3Ruas 15-20%
    3¢-1¢
    4Ruas <5%
    1¢-3¢
    5Paes wins
    1¢-2¢
    6Ruas 20%+
    0¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Oct 25, 2026

    ~5 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    6
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $45.0K

    Whale Activity

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