Geopolitics

    Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

    11% chance · down 1 pts today

    Yes11%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USYes13¢13¢ after fees
    No89%▲ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USNo92¢92¢ after fees
    Resolves
    Dec 31, 2026
    Volume
    $161.1K
    24h
    $52
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1 venue · 1 market

    Chance over time

    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every venue’s price

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes11%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US13¢13¢ after fees
    No90%▲ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US92¢92¢ after fees

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Thu, December 31, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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