TRADING OPEN

    Northern Nalšia District By-Election Winner

    An early election for a member of the Seimas of the Republic of Lithuania in the single-member Northern Nalšia constituency (No. 52) is scheduled to take place on November 8, 2026. The by-election was triggered by the death of the incumbent member, Jevgenij Šuklin, on May 28, 2026. This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the election in the Northern Nalšia constituency. If no candidate receives the required share of the vote in the first round, this market will resolve according to the result of the second round. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Commission of the Republic of Lithuania (Vyriausioji rinkimų komisija, https://www.vrk.lt/).

    Resolves Nov 8, 2026
    Total Volume

    $8.9K

    +$120 (24h)

    Active Markets

    14

    Across 2 platforms

    Frontrunner

    49¢

    Gintautas Kindurys

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -5¢

    Vladislav Kondratovič

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    14 markets
    #
    149¢47¢51¢
    $2.8K+$120 24h
    -2¢—
    217¢17¢17¢
    $807
    -5¢—
    314¢11¢18¢
    $1.6K
    -4¢
    1¢
    48¢8¢—
    $0
    -4¢—
    57¢7¢8¢
    $969
    -4¢—
    65¢—5¢
    $311
    -4¢—
    75¢4¢6¢
    $731
    -4¢—
    85¢5¢—
    $0
    -4¢—
    94¢4¢4¢
    $239
    -3¢—
    104¢4¢4¢
    $697
    -3¢—
    113¢4¢3¢
    $221
    -4¢—
    123¢3¢—
    $0
    -2¢—
    133¢—3¢
    $217
    -2¢—
    141¢—1¢
    $308
    -2¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Gintautas Kindurys
    49%
    49¢-2¢
    2Vladislav Kondratovič
    17%
    17¢-5¢
    3Ignotas Adomavičius
    14%
    14¢-4¢
    4Dalia Štraupaitė
    7¢-4¢
    5Antanas Šakalis
    5¢-4¢
    6Maksimas Paukštė
    4¢-3¢
    7Nikolajus Lebedevičius
    4¢-3¢
    8Giedrius Dainys
    3¢-4¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 8, 2026

    ~19 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    14
    Platforms
    2
    Total Volume
    $8.9K

    Whale Activity

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