Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

    This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

    Resolves Oct 10, 2026
    Total Volume

    $19.9M

    +$79.8K (24h)

    Active Markets

    29

    Across 2 platforms

    Frontrunner

    23¢

    Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms (ERRs)

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -4¢

    Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières)

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    29 markets · Showing 8
    #
    123¢24¢
    $14.3K+$133 24h
    -1¢
    217¢19¢
    $8.4K+$176 24h
    -4¢
    310¢11¢
    $545.6K+$225 24h
    4
    $4.1M+$9.5K 24h
    5
    $177.8K+$692 24h
    6
    $2.0M+$303 24h
    -1¢
    7
    $627.4K+$610 24h
    8
    $11.4K+$107 24h
    -1¢

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Volodymyr Zelenskyy
    10¢
    2Donald Trump
    3International Court of Justice (ICJ)
    4Elon Musk

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Oct 10, 2026

    ~130 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    29
    Platforms
    2
    Total Volume
    $19.9M

    Whale Activity

    Whale

    bought $27K No on Donald Trump

    polymarket · 17 days ago

    Whale

    sold $22K No on Donald Trump

    polymarket · 9 days ago

    Whale

    bought $19K No on Donald Trump

    polymarket · 17 days ago

    Whale

    sold $14K No on Donald Trump

    polymarket · 9 days ago

    View all whale activity →

    Timeline

    • Price MoveJun 2, 8:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved up by 9.1% in 24h

      Xi Jinping · Polymarket

    • Price MoveJun 2, 8:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 10.0% in 24h

      Volodymyr Zelenskyy · Kalshi

    • Price MoveJun 2, 8:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved up by 13.3% in 24h

      Greta Thunberg · Polymarket

    • Price MoveJun 2, 8:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 5.0% in 24h

      Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières) · Kalshi

    • Price MoveJun 2, 8:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 16.7% in 24h

      Francesca Albanese · Kalshi