Geopolitics

    Cuba leader out by Dec. 31?

    4% chance

    Yes4%predictitYes8¢17¢ after fees
    No96%predictitNo96¢96¢ after fees
    Resolves
    Dec 31, 2026
    Volume
    $802.3K
    24h
    $1.4K
    Liquidity
    $39.4K
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USpredictit2 venues · 1 market

    Chance over time

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    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every venue’s price

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    Yes4%—predictit8¢17¢ after fees
    No96%—predictit96¢96¢ after fees

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be President of Cuba for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If t…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗
    predictitPredictIt

    Will Cuba's leader leave office by year-end?

    Full rules on PredictIt ↗

    About this market

    Will Cuba's leader leave office by year-end?

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Thu, December 31, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USpredictitCompared across 2 venues

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