Geopolitics

    Marco Rubio out in 2026?

    March 31, 2027 leads by 11 pts · 2 candidates at 5%+

    1. March 31, 2027#120%
    2. December 31, 2026#29%
    3. November 30, 2026#33%
    #4 November 15, 20261%
    Resolves
    Mar 31, 2027
    Volume
    $300.0K
    24h
    $32.4K
    Liquidity
    $213.5K
    Candidates
    4
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USpredictit2 venues · 6 markets

    Who’s winning

    • March 31, 202720%
    • December 31, 20269%
    • November 30, 20263%
    • November 15, 20261%
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    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every candidate, every venue

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    March 31, 2027$67.7K vol20%▼ 2Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US21¢22¢ after fees
    December 31, 2026$70.8K vol9%▼ 2predictit8¢17¢ after fees
    November 30, 2026$38.9K vol3%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US3¢3¢ after fees
    November 15, 2026$70.2K vol1%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1¢1¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if Marco Rubio ceases to be U.S. Secretary of State for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Marco Rubio's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The re…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗
    predictitPredictIt

    Will Marco Rubio leave office in 2026?

    Full rules on PredictIt ↗

    About this market

    Will Marco Rubio leave office in 2026?

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Wed, March 31, 2027
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USpredictitCompared across 2 venues

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