Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

    Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner Live odds across 25 markets: Election Postponed Beyond Expiration at 72¢. Resolves Jan 1, 2028. Not financial advice.

    Resolves Jan 1, 2028

    TRADING OPEN
    8s

    Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

    Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Lebanon in May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Lebanese Parliament. If the results are not known definitively by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Lebanese Parliament.. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Lebanese Ministry of Interior and Municipalities (interior.gov.lb). Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.

    Resolves Jan 1, 2028
    Total Volume

    $697.4K

    +$0 (24h)

    Active Markets

    25

    Across 2 platforms

    Frontrunner

    72¢

    Election Postponed Beyond Expiration

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -3¢

    Amal Movement (Amal)

    Arb Opportunities

    2

    Best gross: 7.9¢ / $1 pair

    All Markets

    25 markets · Showing 25
    #
    172¢72¢
    $8.2K
    -2¢
    212¢
    $180.7K
    -2¢
    8¢🔥
    310¢
    $70.5K
    -3¢
    3¢
    4
    $2
    -2¢
    5
    $80.9K
    -2¢
    1¢
    6
    $54.2K
    -1¢
    1¢
    7
    $8.7K
    -1¢
    8
    $8.9K
    -1¢
    9
    $7.4K
    -1¢
    10
    $55.0K
    -1¢
    11
    $9.8K
    12
    $13.8K
    13
    $28.1K
    14
    $10.6K
    15
    $7.8K
    16
    $9.6K
    17
    $9.5K
    18
    $9.3K
    19
    $29.2K
    20
    $7.5K
    21
    $10.7K
    22
    $47.4K
    23
    $11.8K
    24
    $9.2K
    25
    $8.6K

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Lebanese Forces (LF)
    -2¢
    2Amal Movement (Amal)
    -3¢
    3Free Patriotic Movement (FPM)
    -2¢
    4Hezbollah (Hezb)
    -1¢
    5Marada Movement (MM)
    -1¢
    6Independence Movement (IM)
    -1¢
    7Kataeb Party (Kataeb)
    -1¢
    8Progressive Socialist Party (PSP)
    -1¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jan 1, 2028

    ~494 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    25
    Platforms
    2
    Total Volume
    $697.4K
    Arb Opportunities
    2

    Whale Activity

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